Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Brent 50.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 53.4%
Defensive zone
Brent 85.5%
Neutral zone
Brent 67.8%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
O'Reilly
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Brent
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Brent
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
O'Reilly
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Brent
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.2% (1,234)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
58.2% (91)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
51.7% (267)
-1.7%
On power play, Brent has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
O'Reilly shoots left. Brent is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Brent
Home
50.6% (480)
51.6% (779)
Away
43.2% (465)
50.0% (820)
By Period
O'Reilly
Brent
P1
47.1%
54.2%
P2
46.7%
49.3%
P3
46.8%
48.8%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |