Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Marchant 48.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Marchant leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.0%
Defensive zone
Marchant 63.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
O'Reilly
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
O'Reilly
Marchant
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Marchant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
5
O'Reilly
Marchant
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchant
1
3
O'Reilly
Marchant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.5% (368)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
28.6% (7)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.4% (158)
+7.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Marchant
Home
50.6% (480)
50.3% (302)
Away
43.2% (465)
45.1% (246)
By Period
O'Reilly
Marchant
P1
47.1%
46.3%
P2
46.7%
49.7%
P3
46.8%
48.1%
OT
54.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |