Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Jarnkrok 43.7% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 80.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 63.7%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Smith
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smith
Jarnkrok
Last 5: Smith 3-2 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Jarnkrok
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Jarnkrok
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
2
Smith
Jarnkrok
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
38.4% (138)
+14.2%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
On even strength, Smith has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Smith is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Smith shoots right. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Smith
Jarnkrok
Home
50.3% (181)
45.0% (60)
Away
51.2% (213)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Smith
Jarnkrok
P1
54.2%
37.8%
P2
44.4%
41.5%
P3
54.2%
38.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Ben Smith |