Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.3%). Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Soderberg 49.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 72.7%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 82.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
Last 8: Jarnkrok 5-3 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
1
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
2
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
50.5% (755)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.0% (80)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
43.8% (235)
+0.0%
On power play, Soderberg has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Soderberg is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
Home
53.8% (210)
50.1% (555)
Away
43.8% (121)
48.5% (515)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Soderberg
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
54.0%
45.5%
P3
47.6%
52.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |