Calle Jarnkrok vs Casey Mittelstadt
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Mittelstadt 47.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 63.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
46.4% (935)
+7.3%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
50.3% (173)
-40.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
50.0% (16)
+0.0%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
Home
50.7% (71)
47.7% (583)
Away
47.5% (61)
46.4% (541)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Mittelstadt
P1
52.1%
50.0%
P2
40.5%
46.2%
P3
56.1%
45.5%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |