Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Tierney 47.9% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 58.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 68.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Jarnkrok
Tierney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
46.6% (193)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
47.5% (40)
+2.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tierney
Home
55.3% (47)
47.9% (121)
Away
34.0% (47)
46.1% (115)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tierney
P1
33.3%
44.1%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%