Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Strome 52.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 76.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 72.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.4%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Jarnkrok
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jarnkrok
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Jarnkrok
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
50.6% (684)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
58.9% (192)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
33.3% (3)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Strome is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Strome
Home
53.0% (281)
51.3% (448)
Away
48.4% (186)
53.4% (431)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Strome
P1
51.6%
51.4%
P2
50.6%
54.6%
P3
51.5%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |