Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Malkin 43.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Jarnkrok
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jarnkrok
Malkin
Last 8: Jarnkrok 3-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
3
Jarnkrok
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Jarnkrok
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
42.7% (827)
+8.0%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
63.2% (19)
-1.1%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Malkin
Home
52.4% (489)
45.1% (426)
Away
46.0% (426)
41.2% (420)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Malkin
P1
51.9%
41.3%
P2
50.3%
44.0%
P3
46.4%
44.7%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |