Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.6%). Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Malkin 48.7% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 55.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 56.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Jarnkrok
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
47.9% (776)
+5.8%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
66.7% (24)
-56.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Malkin
Home
50.7% (71)
49.6% (405)
Away
47.5% (61)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Malkin
P1
52.1%
49.6%
P2
40.5%
47.2%
P3
56.1%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%