Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Barbashev 42.3% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 79.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 73.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 79.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
2
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
37.9% (272)
+13.9%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
58.6% (29)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
40.7% (27)
+2.8%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
Home
53.0% (281)
45.3% (137)
Away
48.4% (186)
36.1% (191)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Barbashev
P1
51.6%
41.8%
P2
50.6%
43.1%
P3
51.5%
31.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |