Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Spezza 52.4% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jarnkrok
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
53.7% (451)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
54.3% (92)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
38.2% (34)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Spezza
Home
53.0% (281)
55.0% (282)
Away
48.4% (186)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Spezza
P1
51.6%
53.1%
P2
50.6%
53.2%
P3
51.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%