Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 43.7% vs Thornton 55.6% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Jarnkrok
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Thornton
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Jarnkrok
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Jarnkrok
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
38.4% (138)
55.1% (836)
-16.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.8% (181)
-5.2%
On even strength, Thornton has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Thornton
Home
45.0% (60)
60.4% (528)
Away
35.6% (87)
52.2% (571)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Thornton
P1
37.8%
58.1%
P2
41.5%
55.3%
P3
38.9%
55.0%
OT
33.3%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |