Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Thornton 46.2% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 56.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Jarnkrok
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
43.5% (161)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
50.0% (14)
+4.4%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Thornton
Home
53.0% (281)
41.5% (106)
Away
48.4% (186)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Thornton
P1
51.6%
50.8%
P2
50.6%
41.0%
P3
51.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%