Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Toews 58.0% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 92.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 88.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 89.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
20
(27 meetings)
7
20
Jarnkrok
Toews
Last 10: Jarnkrok 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
9
Jarnkrok
Toews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Jarnkrok
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
7
Jarnkrok
Toews
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
58.2% (1,200)
-9.3%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
62.8% (250)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
53.7% (123)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
49.5% (396)
59.8% (805)
Away
42.2% (403)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
41.6%
60.2%
P2
42.8%
60.7%
P3
52.5%
55.9%
OT
42.9%
44.8%
Final 5 min
38.8%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |