Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Toews 60.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jarnkrok
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
62.5% (696)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
46.9% (32)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
66.7% (18)
60.9% (435)
Away
46.7% (15)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
50.0%
59.8%
P2
72.7%
65.7%
P3
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |