Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Toews 57.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 64.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 66.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 54.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jarnkrok
Toews
Last 7: Jarnkrok 3-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Jarnkrok
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
58.4% (1,115)
-5.6%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
61.3% (256)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
50.5% (182)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
52.7% (241)
59.5% (783)
Away
50.0% (278)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
49.4%
58.4%
P2
51.7%
59.4%
P3
51.9%
55.9%
OT
75.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |