Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Toews 56.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 56.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 62.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 53.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jarnkrok
Toews
Last 6: Jarnkrok 3-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Jarnkrok
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
56.5% (1,310)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
59.7% (325)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
51.0% (245)
-7.2%
On power play, Toews has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
53.8% (210)
56.6% (927)
Away
43.8% (121)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
54.0%
55.8%
P3
47.6%
57.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |