Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.6% vs 56.9%). Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
55.9% (835)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
50.0% (40)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Home
66.7% (18)
55.1% (508)
Away
46.7% (15)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
P1
50.0%
55.8%
P2
72.7%
55.7%
P3
50.0%
59.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%