Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Bonino 47.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 67.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 53.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Last 6: Jarnkrok 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Jarnkrok
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
48.2% (926)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
48.6% (109)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
43.3% (210)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Home
44.5% (362)
47.8% (653)
Away
48.4% (279)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Bonino
P1
48.5%
45.9%
P2
45.9%
47.0%
P3
44.7%
49.4%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |