Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.4%). Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Bonino 51.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 65.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 69.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Last 8: Jarnkrok 5-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
2
Jarnkrok
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Jarnkrok
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
51.7% (777)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
60.0% (50)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
43.9% (98)
-0.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Home
53.0% (281)
48.2% (461)
Away
48.4% (186)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Bonino
P1
51.6%
54.1%
P2
50.6%
49.7%
P3
51.5%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |