Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 74.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 88.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 89.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Last 7: Jarnkrok 6-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
37.6% (237)
+12.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
32.5% (40)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
50.0% (4)
-6.2%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Jarnkrok is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Schmaltz is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Home
53.8% (210)
42.6% (129)
Away
43.8% (121)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
P1
48.7%
38.8%
P2
54.0%
29.4%
P3
47.6%
42.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |