Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 58.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
42.9% (133)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
55.1% (89)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
47.1% (17)
-3.6%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
Home
53.0% (281)
41.6% (125)
Away
48.4% (186)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Schmaltz
P1
51.6%
40.0%
P2
50.6%
59.5%
P3
51.5%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |