Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 38-22 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 90.2%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 77.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 76.4%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
38
(60 meetings)
22
38
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
15
Jarnkrok
Stastny
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
13
Jarnkrok
Stastny
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
10
Jarnkrok
Stastny
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.3%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
59.1% (1,994)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
52.9% (1,119)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Home
50.6% (2,261)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stastny
P1
47.7%
56.3%
P2
48.0%
55.4%
P3
48.8%
53.5%
OT
40.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |