Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-12.9%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 54.5%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Jarnkrok
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
57.5% (412)
-16.4%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
60.0% (65)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Home
55.3% (47)
58.3% (276)
Away
34.0% (47)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stastny
P1
33.3%
63.7%
P2
50.0%
57.3%
P3
48.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%