Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Stastny 55.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 85.2%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 81.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 75.3%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Last 10: Jarnkrok 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Jarnkrok
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
6
Jarnkrok
Stastny
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Jarnkrok
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
56.5% (967)
-7.6%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
58.4% (125)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
50.8% (128)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Home
49.5% (396)
56.8% (590)
Away
42.2% (403)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stastny
P1
41.6%
59.7%
P2
42.8%
54.8%
P3
52.5%
53.8%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2015 | OT | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |