Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 68.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 68.6%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Last 7: Jarnkrok 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Jarnkrok
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Jarnkrok
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
55.4% (1,004)
-4.7%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
59.0% (210)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
54.1% (196)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Home
52.4% (489)
56.5% (717)
Away
46.0% (426)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stastny
P1
51.9%
56.7%
P2
50.3%
57.7%
P3
46.4%
52.1%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |