Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Stastny 54.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.2%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Last 8: Jarnkrok 4-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jarnkrok
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jarnkrok
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
54.8% (1,130)
-2.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
59.1% (235)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
49.3% (150)
-5.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jarnkrok is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stastny
Home
52.7% (241)
55.5% (803)
Away
50.0% (278)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stastny
P1
49.4%
57.4%
P2
51.7%
52.5%
P3
51.9%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |