Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 52.1%). Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Nash 51.7% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 72.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 74.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Jarnkrok
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
54.1% (292)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
57.1% (7)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
45.9% (98)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Nash
Home
53.0% (281)
56.3% (183)
Away
48.4% (186)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Nash
P1
51.6%
58.9%
P2
50.6%
51.0%
P3
51.5%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%