Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Thomas 49.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 58.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 59.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 61.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Jarnkrok
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Thomas
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Jarnkrok
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Jarnkrok
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Jarnkrok
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
49.0% (910)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
53.5% (142)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
53.3% (75)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Thomas
Home
53.0% (281)
47.3% (514)
Away
48.4% (186)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Thomas
P1
51.6%
50.4%
P2
50.6%
47.5%
P3
51.5%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |