Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Hartman 45.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Last 8: Jarnkrok 4-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jarnkrok
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
2
Jarnkrok
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
45.2% (4,235)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
47.4% (443)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
42.4% (262)
-1.9%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Home
50.6% (2,261)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hartman
P1
47.7%
46.0%
P2
48.0%
42.9%
P3
48.8%
46.8%
OT
40.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |