Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Hartman 45.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Last 8: Jarnkrok 4-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jarnkrok
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
2
Jarnkrok
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
44.8% (4,023)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
47.1% (412)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
42.5% (261)
-2.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,276).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Home
50.6% (2,253)
46.3% (2,446)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
43.4% (2,250)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hartman
P1
47.8%
45.2%
P2
48.0%
43.2%
P3
48.8%
46.2%
OT
40.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |