Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Hartman 47.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 67.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Jarnkrok
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
45.8% (190)
+7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
36.4% (11)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
100.0% (2)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jarnkrok is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hartman is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hartman
Home
52.7% (241)
51.8% (112)
Away
50.0% (278)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hartman
P1
49.4%
44.2%
P2
51.7%
44.1%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |