Calle Jarnkrok vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
47.6% (231)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
33.3% (21)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
66.7% (18)
51.2% (164)
Away
46.7% (15)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
72.7%
46.2%
P3
50.0%
49.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%