Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Aho 52.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 70.6%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Jarnkrok
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jarnkrok
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
51.6% (819)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
58.4% (173)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
46.3% (67)
-2.8%
On power play, Aho has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Aho
Home
53.0% (281)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.4% (186)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Aho
P1
51.6%
55.4%
P2
50.6%
51.2%
P3
51.5%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |