Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Thompson 44.0% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Jarnkrok
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
44.6% (709)
+9.1%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
41.5% (53)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
35.1% (97)
+14.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Thompson
Home
50.7% (71)
45.5% (426)
Away
47.5% (61)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Thompson
P1
52.1%
48.5%
P2
40.5%
43.8%
P3
56.1%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%