Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Johnson 53.6% (-9.6%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Jarnkrok
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
61.9% (42)
-10.1%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
55.6% (9)
-1.2%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Johnson
Home
53.0% (281)
52.0% (25)
Away
48.4% (186)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Johnson
P1
51.6%
72.0%
P2
50.6%
66.7%
P3
51.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%