Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Jost 42.2% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 69.3%
Defensive zone
Jost 68.8%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.3%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Jarnkrok
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jarnkrok
Jost
Last 6: Jarnkrok 3-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
40.8% (314)
+11.0%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
37.5% (8)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
39.4% (104)
+4.1%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Jost
Home
53.0% (281)
42.8% (264)
Away
48.4% (186)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Jost
P1
51.6%
37.4%
P2
50.6%
40.5%
P3
51.5%
43.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |