Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Coyle 48.8% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 76.5%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 52.1%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 61.7%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Ritchie
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ritchie
Coyle
Last 6: Ritchie 2-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Ritchie
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ritchie
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
49.4% (7,856)
-13.3%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
50.0% (792)
+0.0%
On even strength, Coyle has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Coyle
Home
38.1% (168)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
34.9% (146)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Ritchie
Coyle
P1
33.7%
49.4%
P2
38.7%
48.3%
P3
37.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |