Calum Ritchie vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ritchie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Ritchie wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs McMichael 43.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Ritchie leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 62.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 86.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 75.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Ritchie
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Ritchie
McMichael
Last 10: Ritchie 8-2 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
2
0
Ritchie
McMichael
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ritchie
6
3
Ritchie
McMichael
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
42.4% (399)
-6.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
49.1% (55)
-3.6%
On even strength, McMichael has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Ritchie is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Ritchie shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Ritchie
McMichael
Home
37.7% (162)
43.0% (298)
Away
35.2% (145)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Ritchie
McMichael
P1
33.3%
46.5%
P2
38.3%
41.1%
P3
37.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
38.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |