Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ritchie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Compher 51.8% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 79.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 60.2%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 61.2%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Ritchie
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ritchie
Compher
Last 6: Ritchie 2-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
2
1
Ritchie
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Ritchie
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Ritchie
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
53.9% (757)
-17.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.8% (31)
-9.3%
On even strength, Compher has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Compher
Home
37.7% (162)
52.4% (429)
Away
35.2% (145)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Ritchie
Compher
P1
33.3%
56.0%
P2
38.3%
50.0%
P3
37.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
38.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |