Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ritchie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Compher 47.8% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 81.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 60.3%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 61.5%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Ritchie
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ritchie
Compher
Last 6: Ritchie 2-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
2
1
Ritchie
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Ritchie
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Ritchie
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
48.7% (5,716)
-12.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
52.6% (682)
-2.6%
On even strength, Compher has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Compher
Home
38.1% (168)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
34.9% (146)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Ritchie
Compher
P1
33.7%
49.1%
P2
38.7%
47.3%
P3
37.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
39.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |