Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs McTavish 49.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 66.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 64.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 72.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Ritchie
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ritchie
McTavish
Last 5: Ritchie 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ritchie
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
47.6% (616)
-11.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
57.8% (102)
-12.3%
On power play, McTavish has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Ritchie is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Ritchie shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Ritchie
McTavish
Home
37.7% (162)
52.2% (389)
Away
35.2% (145)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Ritchie
McTavish
P1
33.3%
50.0%
P2
38.3%
47.9%
P3
37.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |