Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Marner 43.1% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 51.7%
Defensive zone
Marner 54.5%
Neutral zone
Marner 51.4%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Ritchie
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
42.2% (462)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
On even strength, Marner has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Marner is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Marner
Home
38.1% (168)
38.2% (293)
Away
34.9% (146)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Ritchie
Marner
P1
33.7%
39.1%
P2
38.7%
41.1%
P3
37.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
39.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%