Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Marner 43.1% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 51.6%
Defensive zone
Marner 52.8%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 50.6%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Ritchie
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
41.5% (282)
-5.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
40.0% (5)
+5.5%
On power play, Ritchie has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Marner is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Marner
Home
37.7% (162)
36.1% (158)
Away
35.2% (145)
46.1% (141)
By Period
Ritchie
Marner
P1
33.3%
41.6%
P2
38.3%
40.2%
P3
37.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
38.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.8%