Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Jarvis 42.6% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 56.8%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 56.1%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 52.7%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Ritchie
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
42.0% (352)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
43.7% (119)
+6.3%
On power play, Ritchie has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Jarvis is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Jarvis
Home
38.1% (168)
43.8% (336)
Away
34.9% (146)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Ritchie
Jarvis
P1
33.7%
39.7%
P2
38.7%
39.5%
P3
37.3%
46.1%
Final 5 min
39.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%