Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ritchie wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 80.3%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 57.8%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 68.0%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Ritchie
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ritchie
Gourde
Last 9: Ritchie 3-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Ritchie
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Ritchie
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ritchie
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
48.4% (4,954)
-12.3%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
57.4% (376)
-7.4%
On even strength, Gourde has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Ritchie is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Ritchie shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Gourde
Home
38.1% (168)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
34.9% (146)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Ritchie
Gourde
P1
33.7%
49.9%
P2
38.7%
47.4%
P3
37.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |