Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.2% vs 36.1%). Atkinson wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 39.7% vs Hughes 36.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 56.6%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 53.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Atkinson
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (237)
36.0% (2,887)
-0.1%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
38.8% (224)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
31.0% (42)
+2.3%
On power play, Atkinson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Atkinson is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Atkinson shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Hughes
Home
37.3% (142)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
35.1% (148)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Atkinson
Hughes
P1
35.1%
36.9%
P2
33.8%
33.6%
P3
39.3%
38.1%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
32.3%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%