Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Soderberg 51.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Lowry
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Soderberg
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
3
Lowry
Soderberg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
2
Lowry
Soderberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
53.0% (634)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
50.0% (28)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
37.5% (40)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Soderberg is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Lowry
Soderberg
Home
52.9% (680)
58.6% (324)
Away
48.5% (615)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Lowry
Soderberg
P1
51.5%
49.6%
P2
51.5%
56.7%
P3
49.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |