Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Czarnik wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 50.0% vs Soderberg 45.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 83.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 76.2%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 59.9%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Czarnik
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Czarnik
Soderberg
Last 8: Czarnik 6-2 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Soderberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
5
1
Czarnik
Soderberg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (21)
46.9% (682)
+5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
43.8% (64)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
39.9% (193)
-14.9%
On power play, Czarnik has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Czarnik is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Czarnik shoots right. Soderberg is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Soderberg
Home
47.4% (19)
50.2% (484)
Away
55.6% (9)
40.0% (455)
By Period
Czarnik
Soderberg
P1
33.3%
45.5%
P2
66.7%
44.3%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
20.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |