Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Soderberg 48.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 65.8%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 61.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 55.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Richards
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Soderberg
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Soderberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
1
Richards
Soderberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Soderberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
47.8% (718)
+1.2%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
53.2% (47)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Soderberg is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Richards
Soderberg
Home
49.8% (424)
51.0% (406)
Away
46.9% (401)
45.0% (360)
By Period
Richards
Soderberg
P1
51.3%
44.1%
P2
44.8%
49.4%
P3
49.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Brad Richards |